Systems Management and Decision Making under Uncertainty
For
a given large scale engineering project, a range of different decision
technologies are usually required for systematically examining problems
connected with the design, implementation and operation of the system.
One component of this research is to put various types of decision
making techniques into proper perspective and to develop connections
among methods used in multiple participant-multiple criteria (MPMC),
multiple participant-single criterion (MPSC) and single
participant-multiple criteria (SPMC) decision making situations.
Additionally, approaches are also being investigated for capturing the
uncertainty aspects of decision making and risk analysis. For example,
the information-gap model, which describes the difference between what
one would like to know about a system and what one actually knows, is
being expanded for use in water resources management, MCDA and conflict
resolution.
Research
on fair allocation of resources is also underway. Resource allocation
problems are concerned with how limited resources should be distributed
fairly among competing activities in the achievement of optimal
performance of a complex system or system of systems, subject to
environmental, societal, economic and physical constraints. Utilizing
concepts from economics, ethics, hydrology, and cooperative game
theory, a complex optimization approach called the Cooperative Water
Allocation Model has recently been developed for equitably allocating
fresh water among competing uses in a river basin with application to
the Aral Sea and South Saskatchewan River Basins.